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It seems like some of the survey might be flawed.
Why do they believe that exceptional years are followed by poor years?
Why not use multiple capture methods to show that seining a beach is a good representation?
When you have extreme high and extreme low sets of data....these are routinely ignored to allow a more resonably curve or trend of the me it looks like the population is trending down rather quickly. Just like with crabs, the harvest of reproductive age fish is a better barometer of the population as these are the ones that will add more juveniles next year.
This year they made claims of record crab population based on a similar survey but harvest records proved otherwise.....this was one of the worst crabbing seasons that I can remember.

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